2022 Week Twelve Picks

Tags

,

We did it in different ways, but both Dan and I went 2-1 with the Thanksgiving day games and now our attention turns to the rest of the week twelve slate.

Early Games:

The game that leaps out of this list is the Titans welcoming the Bengals back to Nashville and likely have revenge on their mind given the Bengals knocked them out of the playoffs on their way to the Super Bowl. The Bengals have turned a corner on offence in recent weeks, but also have injuries and whilst they may not give up nine sacks like they did in January, I do not have a huge amount of confidence going into this game and with the Titans getting points at home I feel I have to take the points and hope to be proved wrong.

Other than that it will be interesting to see what Mike White can do as the starter for the Jets, and the Broncos have to be hoping they can do something against the lowly Panthers

Buccaneers @ Browns (+3.5)

Gee’s Pick:      Browns
Dan’s Pick:      Buccaneers

Bengals @ Titans (+1.5)

Gee’s Pick:      Titans
Dan’s Pick:      Titans

Texans @ Dolphins (-12.5)

Gee’s Pick:      Dolphins
Dan’s Pick:      Dolphins

Bears @ Jets (-4.5)

Gee’s Pick:      Jets
Dan’s Pick:      Jets

Falcons @ Washington (-4.5)

Gee’s Pick:      Falcons
Dan’s Pick:      Washington

Broncos @ Panthers (+2.5)

Gee’s Pick:      Panthers
Dan’s Pick:      Broncos

Ravens @ Jaguars (+4.5)

Gee’s Pick:      Jaguars
Dan’s Pick:      Ravens

Late Games:

This is a strange slate of games given the Chargers have been struggling, but look to be in a better place that the Cardinals, no one trusts the Raiders, and the Rams are flat out bad this year. The 49ers are rounding into form and are taking on a Saints team who just have not looked good this season, making their all-in off-season moves even more questionable.

Chargers @ Cardinals (+1.5)

Gee’s Pick:      Chargers
Dan’s Pick:      Chargers

Raiders @ Seahawks (-3.5)

Gee’s Pick:      Seahawks
Dan’s Pick:      Seahawks

Rams @ Chiefs (-14.5)

Gee’s Pick:      Chiefs
Dan’s Pick:      Rams

Saints @ 49ers (-4.5)

Gee’s Pick:      49ers
Dan’s Pick:      49ers

Sunday Night Football:

Packers @ Eagles (-7.5)

It turns out that Aaron Rodgers broke his thumb in week five, and that surely can’t have helped but I don’t know if it explains all of the Packers woes this season. Given their respective form and the numbers I am going with the Packers to stick within a touchdown of the Eagles, but this is one where I’m having to trust the process given how both teams have played this season and I don’t feel confident in the selection.

Gee’s Pick:      Packers
Dan’s Pick:      Eagles

Monday Night Football

Steelers @ Colts (-2.5)

This is an odd game where I really don’t want anything to do with the number, and one I’ll see if I can watch given that Jeff Saturday is 2-0 despite his lack of higher-level coaching experience before taking over the Colts two weeks ago. Still, the Steelers have some players back and did well for large stretches against the Bengals last week and so whilst I don’t have strong feelings either way, I’m leaning to the Steelers a little with no strong number to go on.

Gee’s Pick:      Steelers
Dan’s Pick:      Colts

DVOA is Football Outsiders statistic for measure a team’s success on every play versus the league average and you can read more about it and other football topics at https://footballoutsiders.com.

Advertisement

Competition Thursday: 2022 Thanksgiving

Tags

, , , , , , , , , , , ,

It has been quieter here than I intended the last few weeks thanks to various things at work, and a trip to Stamford Bridge on Sunday to watch the Chelsea women beat Spurs, but games were still picked and I did get to see the Bengals beat the Steelers, which is always a good thing!

However, I do seem to have completely lost the knack of picking games, or at least I haven’t done better than Dan since week five and have sunk below .500. In that time, Dan has kept picking up a point or two and slowly whittled down my lead to two points. I need to turn things around fast, starting with the Thanksgiving games!

Gee:Week 11:  6 – 8Overall:  81 – 83
Dan:Week 11:  7 – 7Overall:  79 – 85

There are three interesting games on this week, with the lines seemingly bigger than expected. The Lions come into their traditional Thanksgiving game with a three game win streak and face a Bills team that have had enough injuries and problems that whilst I expect the Bills to win, this line is a bit rich for me. The Bills are not suddenly a bad team, but they do look a little fragile and that is a problem when your expectations are Super Bowls.

The Cowboys are coming of a complete domination of the Vikings last week and welcome a Giants team that even after a couple of losses are a lot more competitive than anyone was expecting going into the season. I understand why this line is so high, but it is tricky as the Cowboys are the right side of ten, but I just worry that the Giants are going to make this divisional game more competitive than that. I really don’t like this line but am nervously backing the Giants.

The final game sees the 8-2 Vikings looking to get right after their awful loss to the Cowboys last week. Part of that was the Cowboys ability to take advantage of the loss of left tackle Christian Darrisaw to concussion and whilst the Patriots don’t have a pass rusher like Micah Parsons, they are ranked first in defensive DVOA. The Pats are having an existential crisis at quarterback and so if the Vikings get going its hard to see the Pats keeping up. However, as much as Kirk Cousins seems to have been unlocked with a new head coach and offensive coordinator, this is still prime time against a defensive master and so whilst I’m not sure the Pats will win, this line is the wrong side of three for me to back Cousins in prime time against Bill Belichick.

Bills @ Lions (+9.5)

Gee’s Pick:      Lions
Dan’s Pick:      Bills

Giants @ Cowboys (-9.5)

Gee’s Pick:      Giants
Dan’s Pick:      Giants

Patriots @ Vikings (-3.5)

Gee’s Pick:      Patriots
Dan’s Pick:      Vikings

Survivor Competition

After getting myself level in week eight, Dan and I have either both scored or both struck out, but going into week twelve we only have six points each so hardly a ringing endorsement of our picks.

This week we have both gone for home teams with Dan backing the Seahawks to beat the Raiders, whilst I’m hoping I’m not being a jinx as I back the Dolphins to beat the Texans.

Current Score

Gee: 6
Dan: 6

Week 12 Selection:

Gee:     Texans @ Dolphins
Dan:    Raiders @ Seahawks

DVOA is Football Outsiders statistic for measuring a team’s success on every play versus the league average and you can read more about it and other football topics at https://footballoutsiders.com.

2022 Week Ten Picks

Tags

, ,

Slowly, slowly Dan is reeling me in. I think this run started before the podcast went on hiatus so I can’t blame that, but I clearly need to stop this slide and at least keep things even this week yet alone claw some wins back to extend my narrowing lead.

Gee:Week 9:  6 – 7Overall:  69 – 67
Dan:Week 9:  8 – 5Overall:  65 – 71

Survivor Competition

So we have that rare thing last week where both of us had successful picks with the Patriots and Dolphins coming through. This week Dan went for the Falcons against the Panthers and so has already given me the opportunity to take a lead. I’m slightly nervous about this pick but the rankings give me this team as my best option and I’m going against a coach who has only coached high school before as I back the Raiders to beat the Colts.

Current Score

Gee: 5
Dan: 5

Week 10 Selection:

Gee:    Colts @ Raiders
Dan:    Falcons @ Panthers

Early Games:

We have an early early game this week as the Seahawks take on the Buccaneers, and Tom Brady is expecting a crazy atmosphere and I’m certainly inclined to agree with him. However, the Buccaneers are struggling and at this point we must take the Seahawks seriously so on what will be a neutral field we’ll see what happens

The gloss comes off the Vikings visiting the Bills due to the Bills’ quarterback Josh Allen having an elbow injury, the Broncos at Titans sees us giving Russel Wilson another stern test, but there is not a lot jumping off the slate to me right now.

Seahawks @ Buccaneers (-2.5)

Gee’s Pick:      Seahawks
Dan’s Pick:      Seahawks

Vikings @ Bills (-7.5)

Gee’s Pick:      Vikings
Dan’s Pick:      Vikings

Lions @ Bears (-3.5)

Gee’s Pick:      Lions
Dan’s Pick:      Lions

Broncos @ Titans (-3.5)

Gee’s Pick:      Broncos
Dan’s Pick:      Titans

Jaguars @ Chiefs (-9.5)

Gee’s Pick:      Chiefs
Dan’s Pick:      Chiefs

Browns @ Dolphins (-3.5)

Gee’s Pick:      Dolphins
Dan’s Pick:      Dolphins

Texans @ Giants (-6.5)

Gee’s Pick:      Giants
Dan’s Pick:      Giants

Saints @ Steelers (+2.5)

Gee’s Pick:      Steelers
Dan’s Pick:      Saints

Late Games:

The Cowboys visiting Lambeau Field should be one of the games of the week, but with the ongoing disaster that the Packers season has been it’s hard to pick much to be excited about in these three games. The Colts are now being coached by someone without coaching experience above high school against a Raiders team that are really struggling, whilst in the third game both quarterbacks have shown up on the injury list this week and neither the Rams or Cardinals have impressed this season.

Colts @ Raiders (-5.5)

Gee’s Pick:      Raiders
Dan’s Pick:      Raiders

Cowboys @ Packers (+5.5)

Gee’s Pick:      Cowboys
Dan’s Pick:      Cowboys

Cardinals @ Rams (-3.5)

Gee’s Pick:      Rams
Dan’s Pick:      Rams

Sunday Night Football:

Chargers @ 49ers (-6.5)

This should be a great matchup, and might even be so, but it would be slightly against expectation given that the Chargers have stuttered all season and don’t seem to be making best use of their star second year quarterback Justin Herbert. Meanwhile, if he can stay healthy running back Christian McCaffrey is a cheat code that unlocks Jimmy Garoppolo running Kyle Shanahan’s offence that in a weak NFC could see the 49ers making a real run at a deep run in the playoffs.

Gee’s Pick:      49ers
Dan’s Pick:      Chargers

Monday Night Football

Washington @ Eagles (-10.5)

This line makes me nervous, but I’m not that impressed with Washington for all of the usual reasons, while the Eagles have continued to dominate and whilst I have conflicting numbers that indicates I could take the points, I just don’t trust Washington on the road, and I do now have a faith in the Eagles. I just hope it isn’t misplaced.

Gee’s Pick:      Eagles
Dan’s Pick:      Eagles

2022 Week Nine Picks

Tags

, ,

Well, Dan and I both went for the Eagles on Thursday and paid the price for it with a loss to start week nine with the Eagles winning, but not quite by enough for us to cover. That’s particularly frustrating for me as Dan has continued to reel me in as I seem to have lost my early season form, but fingers crossed I can stop the bleeding soon.

Gee:Week 8:  6 – 9Overall:  63 – 60
Dan:Week 8:  8 – 7Overall:  57 – 66

Survivor Competition

Dan was tripped up last week by going for the Jets against the Patriots, which to me was always a bit of a bold choice and I was able to then equalise with the Eagles beating the Steelers. This week Dan is understandably backing the Dolphins to beat the Bears, whilst my best option seems to be the Patriots welcoming the Colts.

Current Score

Gee: 4
Dan: 4

Week 9 Selection:

Gee:    Dolphins @ Bears
Dan:    Colts @ Patriots

Early Games:

The Bengals definitely need to turn things around this week, and the line is surprisingly high considering the injury even if the Panthers are strugglig. The Vikings visiting Washington could be surprisingly competitive whilst the game of the early slate could well be the Chargers visiting the Falcons.

Chargers @ Falcons (+2.5)

Gee’s Pick:      Falcons
Dan’s Pick:      Chargers

Dolphins @ Bears (+4.5)

Gee’s Pick:      Dolphins
Dan’s Pick:      Dolphins

Panthers @ Bengals (-8.5)

Gee’s Pick:      Panthers
Dan’s Pick:      Bengals

Packers @ Lions (+3.5)

Gee’s Pick:      Lions
Dan’s Pick:      Pakers

Colts @ Patriots (-5.5)

Gee’s Pick:      Colts
Dan’s Pick:      Colts

Bills @ Jets (+13.5)

Gee’s Pick:      Jets
Dan’s Pick:      Jets

Vikings @ Washington (+3.5)

Gee’s Pick:      Washington
Dan’s Pick:      Vikings

Late Games:

Both the Rams and the Buccaneers look so different from last season and are really struggling whilst the Seahawks visiting the Cardinals is probably the pick of these games. The promise of the first couple of weeks faded quickly for the Jaguars whilst the Raiders have really struggled all season and who knows what will happen this week.

Raiders @ Jaguars (+1.5)

Gee’s Pick:      Raiders
Dan’s Pick:      Jaguars

Seahawks @ Cardinals (-1.5)

Gee’s Pick:      Seahawks
Dan’s Pick:      Seahawks

Rams @ Buccaneers (-3.5)

Gee’s Pick:      Rams
Dan’s Pick:      Rams

Sunday Night Football:

Titans @ Chiefs (-10.5)

This line is just way too big for me. The Chiefs are good, but the Titans have he knack for winning even if it is ugly, which is down to head coach Mike Vrabel and even if the Chiefs are at home I’m not sure I see them winning by eleven.

Gee’s Pick:      Titans
Dan’s Pick:      Titans

Monday Night Football

Ravens @ Saints (+3.5

The week finishes with a Ravens team who are trying to catch up with the best in the AFC by adding Roquan Smith to their defence but who still feel a level behind the Chiefs and Bills because of their offence. The Saints are still competitive in their division but have not been convincing as much as I’m happy to see Andy Dalton playing. The numbers say Saints eve if it feels a bit bold to me.

Gee’s Pick:      Saints
Dan’s Pick:      Saints

A Pod Anouncement and Week Eight Picks

Tags

, ,

I have something to announce this week. You may have noticed a new episode of the podcast was missing from your feeds, and while picks were made for Thursday no post went up on the blog.

Dan and I are both are in different places to a year ago, yet alone from when we started The Wrong Football and at this point, both of us are struggling to find the time to produce a podcast and so have taken the reluctant decision to place it once again on hiatus. Than you to all those who said nice things over the years. Things may change in the future, or a podcast producer may fall out of the sky to record our weekly chats, but for now we’ll be sticking to the competitions here on the blog.

Here are our points for week seven and Dan is reeling me back in. For the record we both were right in picking the Ravens on Thursday:

Gee:Week 7:  7 – 7Overall:  57 – 51
Dan:Week 7:  9 – 5Overall:  49 – 59

Survivor Competition

With Dan choosing the Bucs to beat the Panthers I was able to parle my safe pick of the Cowboys against the Lions into picking up a point that sees me return to a deficit of one. Dan is going for the Jets to beat the Patriots at home this week whilst I am backing the Eagles to beat the Steelers and hoping that I haven’t jinxed them.

Current Score

Gee: 3
Dan: 4

Week 8 Selection:

Gee:    Steelers @ Eagles
Dan:    Patriots @ Jets

Early Games:

We start Sunday with the last of the London game that sees the struggling Broncos taking on the Jaguars.

Broncos @ Jaguars (-3.5)

Gee’s Pick:      Broncos
Dan’s Pick:      Broncos

Panthers @ Falcons (-6.5)

Gee’s Pick:      Falcons
Dan’s Pick:      Falcons

Bears @ Cowboys (-9.5)

Gee’s Pick:      Cowboys
Dan’s Pick:      Bears

Dolphins @ Lions (+3.5)

Gee’s Pick:      Dolphins
Dan’s Pick:      Dolphins

Cardinals @ Vikings (-3.5)

Gee’s Pick:      Vikings
Dan’s Pick:      Vikings

Raiders @ Saints (+1.5)

Gee’s Pick:      Raiders
Dan’s Pick:      Raiders

Patriots @ Jets (+1.5)

Gee’s Pick:      Jets
Dan’s Pick:      Jets

Steelers @ Eagles (-10.5)

Gee’s Pick:      Steelers
Dan’s Pick:      Eagles

Late Games:

Titans @ Texans (+3.5)

Gee’s Pick:      Texans
Dan’s Pick:      Titans

Washington @ Colts (-3.5)

Gee’s Pick:      Washington
Dan’s Pick:      Washington

49ers @ Rams (+1.5)

Gee’s Pick:      Rams
Dan’s Pick:      49ers

Giants @ Seahawks (-2.5)

Gee’s Pick:      Giants
Dan’s Pick:      Giants

Sunday Night Football:

Packers @ Bills (-10.5)

Gee’s Pick:      Bills
Dan’s Pick:      Bills

Monday Night Football

Bengals @ Browns (+3.5)

Gee’s Pick:      Bengals
Dan’s Pick:      Bengals

2022 Week Seven Picks

Tags

, ,

So I failed to take into account Prime Time Andy Dalton quarterbacking the Saints or the return of DeAndrew Hopkins for the Cardinals as I got the pick wrong. It didn’t feel like a disaster of a pick, and it was the multiple picks from Dalton trying to make up the deficit at the end of the first half that finish the Saints.

Anyway, moving on to the rest of the week seven picks.

Early Games:

I think the Falcons visit to the Bengals might well be the pick of the early slate, although the Giants at Jaguars could be fun and the AFC North showdown between the Ravens and Browns has the potential to catch the imagination.

Falcons @ Bengals (-5.5)

Gee’s Pick:      Falcons
Dan’s Pick:      Bengals

Lions @ Cowboys (-7.5)

Gee’s Pick:      Lions
Dan’s Pick:      Cowboys

Colts @ Titans (-3.5)

Gee’s Pick:      Colts
Dan’s Pick:      Titans

Packers @ Washington (+5.5)

Gee’s Pick:      Washington
Dan’s Pick:      Packers

Buccaneers @ Panthers (+10.5)

Gee’s Pick:      Panthers
Dan’s Pick:      Buccaneers

Giants @ Jaguars (-2.5)

Gee’s Pick:      Giants
Dan’s Pick:      Giants

Browns @ Ravens (-6.5)

Gee’s Pick:      Ravens
Dan’s Pick:      Ravens

Late Games:

The games that leap out as being competitive in the late slate are the Chiefs visiting the 49ers, but that is based on the 49ers finding a way despite the injuries, and the Seahawks at the Chargers where I think I do see an upset coming.

Jets @ Broncos (-2.5)

Gee’s Pick:      Jets
Dan’s Pick:      Jets

Texans @ Raiders (-6.5)

Gee’s Pick:      Raiders
Dan’s Pick:      Raiders

Seahawks @ Chargers (-6.5)

Gee’s Pick:      Seahawks
Dan’s Pick:      Seahawks

Chiefs @ 49ers (+3.5)

Gee’s Pick:      49ers
Dan’s Pick:      Chiefs

Sunday Night Football:

Steelers @ Dolphins (-7.5)

The prime-time Sunday game is likely to feature two starting quarterbacks coming back from concussions and whilst I do expect the Dolphins to run out winners in this one, the line is too rich for me to expect them to cover.

Gee’s Pick:      Steelers
Dan’s Pick:      Steelers

Monday Night Football

Bears @ Patriots (-7.5)

This should be a win a for a Patriots team who seem to have found something in recent weeks against a Bears team who haven’t. The line worries me a lot, particularly with Mac Jones possibly returning for the Patriots given that changes things rather than necessarily picking a side in the possible Patriots quarterback controversy. Still, the Bears haven’t convinced so even with more rest I’m trust the marginal numbers.

Gee’s Pick:      Patriots
Dan’s Pick:      Patriots

DVOA is Football Outsiders statistic for measure a team’s success on every play versus the league average and you can read more about it and other football topics at https://footballoutsiders.com.

Competition Thursday: 2022 Week Seven

Tags

, ,

Dan’s self-proclaimed set of bold picks saw him pickup a point on me a third of the way through the seasons and there’s still plenty of time to catch up.

Gee:Week 6:  7 – 7Overall:  50 – 44
Dan:Week 6:  8 – 6Overall:  40 – 54

Saints @ Cardinals (-1.5)

I’m intrigued to see how this one plays out with the Saints coming off the loss to the Bengals and the Cardinals seeming disarray and churn at receiver. My numbers suggest the Cardinals is the better pick, but I don’t trust them at all and given I like the Saints to win anyway and I’m getting admittedly a small number of points, I am still backing the Saints.

Gee’s Pick:      Saints
Dan’s Pick:      Saints

Survivor Competition

I’m not thinking I jinxed the Buccaneers last week as I simply didn’t know Brady was acting like a diva rather than the ultimate quarterback so with him missing practices/walkthroughs whilst attending a wedding it’s possible not surprising things went badly. Dan pulled a further point ahead picking against his own team,, which I know was painful for him. This week I am jinxing the Cowboys who should beat the Lions even if they don’t cover the line.

Current Score

Gee: 2
Dan: 4

Week 7 Selection:

Gee:     Lions @ Cowboys
Dan:    Buccaneers @ Panthers

Bold Prediction of the Week

Having got the Jets beating the packers last week, and Dan refuting the cover as too easy, my bold prediction this week is for the Seahawks to beat the Chargers.

2022 Week Six Picks

Tags

,

We’re now far enough into the season that the byes have started, while Dan and I got off to a bad start picking games in week six given that neither of us accounted for Carson Wentz’s 6-0 record on a Thursday Night.

There’s a couple of cracking matchups, including a repeat of the Buffalo Bills taking on the Kansas City Chiefs so we’ll have to see how things look across the rest of the week.

Early Games:

It’s a bit of a mixed slate of early games given that the tight games seem to Bengals visiting the Saints, an AFC South game where who can truly say what the Jaguars will do against the Colts, and the Browns hosting the Patriots. Still, I’m interested to see how the Packers do this week coming off the disappointing London loss to the Giants and our spreadsheet of who we have watched is pointing me to the 49ers @ Falcons that I am looking forward to finding out how they are playing.

49ers @ Falcons (+5.5)

Gee’s Pick:      Falcons
Dan’s Pick:      Falcons

Patriots @ Browns (-2.5)

Gee’s Pick:      Patriots
Dan’s Pick:      Browns

Jets @ Packers (-6.5)

Gee’s Pick:       Jets
Dan’s Pick:      Packers

Jaguars @ Colts (-1.5)

Gee’s Pick:      Jaguars
Dan’s Pick:      Colts

Vikings @ Dolphins (+2.5)

Gee’s Pick:      Vikings
Dan’s Pick:      Vikings

Bengals @ Saints (+1.5)

Gee’s Pick:      Bengals
Dan’s Pick:      Bengals

Ravens @ Giants (+4.5)

Gee’s Pick:      Ravens
Dan’s Pick:      Ravens

Buccaneers @ Steelers (+7.5)

Gee’s Pick:      Buccaneers
Dan’s Pick:      Steelers

Late Games:

The game of the week, and potentially the regular season, dominates this group of late games as with all due respect to the Panthers, Rams, Cardinals and Seahawks – nearly all eyes will be on the Bills and Chiefs matchup.

Panthers @ Rams (-10.5)

Gee’s Pick:      Panthers
Dan’s Pick:      Panthers

Cardinals @ Seahawks (+2.5)

Gee’s Pick:      Seahawks
Dan’s Pick:      Cardinals

Bills @ Chiefs (+2.5)

Gee’s Pick:      Chiefs
Dan’s Pick:      Bills

Sunday Night Football:

Cowboys @ Eagles (-4.5)

This is a game likely to come down to the Cowboys defence going up against Eagles offensive line and with perennial Pro Bowl center Jason Kelce having had to come out of the game last week with an ankle injury, it will be interesting to see how they cope against the positively terrifying Micah Parsons. I can see the Eagles winning this one given they are unbeaten, but this line is a bit rich for me under the circumstances.

Gee’s Pick:      Cowboys
Dan’s Pick:      Eagles

Monday Night Football

Broncos @ Chargers (-5.5)

I positively hate this line because as dysfunctional as the Bronocs offence has been, their defence has been really good and they’ve only been truly out of one game this season in terms of final score. Meanwhile I don’t trust the Chargers at all, with what seems to be a head coach who hasn’t clearly defined how aggressive he wants to be with analytic decisions, injuries and an offence that seems to hinder as much as help Justin Herbert. I say this not because I’m expecting the Chargers to lose, but this number of points feels rich to me, but it’s not hard to see how the Chargers could run up big winners in this one.

Still, I’m sticking to my mantra of trust the numbers, and whilst this is right in the, ‘we don’t know what to do with the game’ range, they lean Broncos for me so that’s where I’m going… Needless to say I don’t feel comfortable about it.

Gee’s Pick:      Broncos
Dan’s Pick:      Chargers

DVOA is Football Outsiders statistic for measure a team’s success on every play versus the league average and you can read more about it and other football topics at https://footballoutsiders.com.

Competition Thursday: 2022 Week Six

Tags

, , , , , ,

I am absolutely not taking things for granted, but we’re well over a quarter of the way through the season, we’re starting to get team byes and I’ve got a double digit lead in the picks competition. There’s still a long way to go but I can’t think of a much better way to start, even if can’t salve the Bengals’ stumbling start to the competition that matters.

On to week six!

Gee:Week 5:  10 – 6Overall:  43 – 37
Dan:Week 5:  5 – 11Overall:  32 – 48

Washington @ Bears (-0.5)

I am looking forward to watching these teams again and seeing the changes in both of them. However, picking it is a different matter entirely, particularly when the line truly is giving us nothing to work with. I’m not sure what Dan’s rationale is, but mine is that the Bears are at home on a short week and haven’t had their head coach throwing their quarterback under the bus, but that isn’t exactly convincing.

I guess in a week where the Chiefs are playing the Bills I shouldn’t complain about this matchup too much.

Gee’s Pick:     Bears
Dan’s Pick:     Bears

Survivor Competition

Dan made the mistake of trusting the AFC South last week and so got his second elimination of the season with the Texans beating the Jaguars. Meanwhile two weeks of comparatively safe picks has seen me at least drag myself back into contention and whist it might come back to bite me later in the season, I’m going to continue that trend with the Buccaneers taking on the struggling steelers, while Dan has opted for the Vikings visiting his Dolphins.

Current Score

Gee: 2
Dan: 2

Week 6 Selection:

Gee:    Buccaneers @ Steelers
Dan:    Vikings @ Dolphins

Bold Prediction of the Week

I hate this process and so tend to pull my bold prediction out the ether when Dan asks me, which this week left me picking the Jets to beat the Packers, which in the cold light of day is certainly bold, and possibly foolish but I don’t think impossible.

2022 Week Five Picks

Tags

, , ,

The Thursday night game was very much one for the die-hard football fan given the quality of both offences on display. Let’s hope the rest of the week five slate of games picks up in quality.

Early Games:

The second London game of the season sees the Packers finally play in the UK as they host the Giants at the Totenham stadium. The Giants have a number of questions at quarterback given the injuries they had last week and so you would expect the Packers to win but given how competitive both these teams have been this season he line seems a little high to me.

Giants @ Packers (-7.5)

Gee’s Pick:      Giants
Dan’s Pick:      Packers

The rest of the early slate sees the biggest ever number of points given to the Steelers and not a whole lot that looks like must watch football.

Steelers @ Bills (-14.5)

Gee’s Pick:      Steelers
Dan’s Pick:      Steelers

Chargers @ Browns (+3.5)

Gee’s Pick:      Browns
Dan’s Pick:      Chargers

Bears @ Vikings (-6.5)

Gee’s Pick:      Vikings
Dan’s Pick:      Vikings

Lions @ Patriots (-3.5)

Gee’s Pick:      Lions
Dan’s Pick:      Lions

Seahawks @ Saints (-5.5)

Gee’s Pick:      Seahawks
Dan’s Pick:      Seahawks

Dolphins @ Jets (+3.5)

Gee’s Pick:      Jets
Dan’s Pick:      Jets

Falcons @ Buccaneers (-7.5)

Gee’s Pick:      Buccaneers
Dan’s Pick:      Buccaneers

Titans @ Washington (+2.5)

Gee’s Pick:      Titans
Dan’s Pick:      Titans

Texans @ Jaguars (-7.5)

Gee’s Pick:      Jaguars
Dan’s Pick:      Jaguars

Late Games:

It’s a curious group of late games as for all their problems, the 49ers just look like a different stratosphere of team than the Panthers. I have to wonder how the Rams struggling offensive line will do against Micah Parsons and the Cowboys’ pass rush, whilst the Cardinals have singularly unimpressed and welcome an Eagles team with the sole unbeaten record going into week five.

49ers @ Panthers (+4.5)

Gee’s Pick:      49ers
Dan’s Pick:      49ers

Cowboys @ Rams (-4.5)

Gee’s Pick:      Cowboys
Dan’s Pick:      Cowboys

Eagles @ Cardinals (+5.5)

Gee’s Pick:      Eagles
Dan’s Pick:      Eagles

Sunday Night Football:

Bengals @ Ravens (-3.5)

This looks to be one of the matchups of the weekend, although I’m still not convinced by the Bengals’ offence, The Bengals’ defence however, has been playing great and it should be an interesting matchup against Lamar Jackson and the Ravens offence who have also been playing so well this season. The extra half point has me taking the Bengals, although I could actually see the game going either way despite the Bengals sweeping the Ravens last season, but it is worth noting this is the largest disparity in injury score at sicscore.com that I have seen this season.

Gee’s Pick:      Bengals
Dan’s Pick:      Ravens

Monday Night Football

Raiders @ Chiefs (-7.5)

The Chiefs really should win this one having only had one blip all season while the Raiders have a solitary win, which is perhaps not surprising given how badly the previous regime did with its early picks in the draft. That said, this line is the wrong side of seven and with numbers telling me that this division game has a slight advantage to the Raiders I’ll see if they can keep this one close.

Gee’s Pick:      Raiders
Dan’s Pick:      Chiefs

DVOA is Football Outsiders statistic for measure a team’s success on every play versus the league average and you can read more about it and other football topics at https://footballoutsiders.com.