Monthly Archives: February 2018

AAF: Super Bowl

13 Tuesday Feb 2018

Posted by in Amateur Adventures in Film, Picks Competition

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It may be going up later than I had hoped, but the Super Bowl amateur adventures in film post is one of my favourites to write all year as it allows me to hold on to football for a week longer. For Super Bowl LII I wanted to take a look at the Patriots’ offensive line going up against the Philadelphia Eagle’s defensive line.

The first thing I have to say is that there was naturally a bit of mission creep when looking at the coaching tape as when looking at pass protections you have to also include any tight ends or running backs who end up blocking and for the Eagles I have to include any blitzing players.

The reason I wanted to highlight this is one of the firth things that leapt of the tape was just how good a blocker Rob Gronkowski is. Now I’ve heard plenty of people laud him as possibly the best tight end to play depending on how the rest of his career goes, but it is one thing to hear that Gronk is a good blocker and another to see how key he was in certain protection schemes. I am not claiming to be an expert, but there were plenty of snaps where it was Gronkowski’s job to stay in and block the defensive end or come inside on run plays to clear a linebacker out and he did this very effectively. This then could allow the Patriots double both interior linemen of the Eagles four man front which helped contain Brandon Graham when he moved inside to rush alongside Fletcher Cox.

In this game the Patriots did a number of things with their line. Yes they would run block as unit left or right, or they would pull right guard Shaq Mason or get Mason and left guard Joe Thurney up into the second level of the defence. There were also screen plays where centre David Andrews joined either or both guards to get downfield and spring the player catching the ball for good gains. However, whilst the Patriots mixed up their protection and how they blocked for the run, one feature that stay consistent through most of this game was Nate Solder being left to block his defender one on one in pass protection. Yes occasionally Rob Gronkowski or a running back would hit the end of their way out for a route, but Solder got virtually no help as this was the way that the Patriots could have the numbers to double defensive tackle Fletcher Cox and/or any other of the Eagles’ defensive line, except their right end who was Solder’s responsibility. There were only a couple of times that this caused a problem with one being the fourth and ten that Tom Brady converted in the Patriots’ final drive where Solder got to Fletcher Cox, who was running a stunt with defensive end Vinny Curry, but Solder was pushed back virtually into Tom Brady who still managed get the throw off and complete the pass for a first down just before Chris Long tackled Brady having got round right tackle Cameron Flemming. I remember one other play where Solder was straight beaten by an end but as the statistics tell us, the Patriots were able to move the ball well for large parts of this game, and Solder played a big part in enabling the pass protection schemes to work.

So what did happen to the Eagle’s vaunted pass rush? Well the answer is more complicated than just that the Patriots offence took care of them. Seldom does one player or one group of players dominate a game as much as we might think, and whilst the Patriots did play well there were still occasions where the Eagle’s line interrupted plays. It is hard to say the Eagle’s defence played well when they gave up over five hundred yards passing yards but more of that was due to their opposition than poor play.

The Eagles depth at defensive line was one of their strengths this season and certainly you could certainly see that at play in this game as not only was there a good mix of players, but they lined up on at various places along there four man front. There were plenty of times when Brandon Graham would move in from defensive end to rush as a second defensive tackle alongside Fletcher Cox so the Eagles could get another pass rushing end into the game. The only sack of the game was Graham’s play that ended the Patiots’ tenth drive, which basically sealed the game and Graham was rushing inside on this play with Chris Long outside him. I, like a lot of people, had the feeling that with 2:21 on the clock and Brady getting the ball that the Patriots were about to march down the field and win the game. However, whilst this crucial sack was the only one of the game, the Eagles did hit Brady another nine times and were able to affect throws even if they couldn’t get to him. In fact one of the reasons that the Eagles didn’t get more pressure was because Brady was so quick at getting the ball out and several times it was the timing of Brady’s throw as much as the blocking in front of him that defeated the Eagles pressure.

Overall this was a really interesting game to watch on coaching tape with the Patriots moving the ball but not having it all their own way and ultimately the Eagles won out with their defence able to make just enough plays that when coupled with their stellar offensive performance.

I’m going to take a few weeks off as I head into the offseason with some plans to do some reading, research for next season, and to get a second book published. I will be okay without football for a while but I’m sure the itch to write and blog will return and it will be a long time before there are games to watch again. However, this game will live in our minds for a long time, no small thanks to the performance of both teams and if the Eagle’s legacy is that teams are more aggressive with their play calling and approach that would be no bad thing.

It will as ever, be a long offseason.

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Super Bowl Preview

04 Sunday Feb 2018

Posted by in Playoffs

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The big day is here and as the end of my fourth season of blogging about the NFL approaches it is just left to preview the Super Bowl and take a look at the coaching tape next week. This year the final game comes down to the Philadelphia Eagles taking on the New England Patriots.

The Patriots have reached the Super Bowl for the third time in the last four seasons and this is Tom Brady and Bill Belichick’s eighth Super Bowl in seventeen years, which is simply an unprecedented number for a head coach and quarterback that match any other team’s number of total Super Bowls. This year started poorly with a loss to the Kansas City Chiefs and two losses in the first four games but still the Patriots were able to amass a 13-3 record and once again make the Super Bowl.

Their defence started off poorly, particularly in coverage, but improved through the year as communication got sorted and they found their way. This defence is still not a great one in terms of yards given up and finished the regular season ranked thirty-first in the league by DVOA with the rush defence a poor thirtieth and the pass defence a more respectable twenty-first. Their front seven has lost talent recent years and losing Don’t’a Hightower and rookie Derek Rivers to injury really didn’t help. However, the Patriots managed to finish the season fifth in points allowed this season and have their classic bend but don’t break approach working well enough that they haven’t given up more than twenty-seven points since the first four games where they started so poorly. The secondary has been playing well recently and it was a very typical move to pick up James Harrison off waivers late in the season and it would not be a surprise to see the veteran pass rusher make a couple of plays again in this game.

If the Patriots defence has struggled, the offence has excelled once again despite Tom Brady turning forty as he fights time to keep his career going. Brady finished the regular season with four and a half thousand yards, thirty-two touchdowns and only eight interceptions and already has a trademark come from behind win against the Jaguars in the post season. They were the number one ranked offence in the league by DVOA leading the league in passing offence and number three in rushing offence. There was an overhaul of their receiver group but they had to do all this without Brady favourite Julian Edelman who tore his ACL in pre-season. Still, Brady has made use of the plethora of running back options out of the backfield as well as tight end Rob Gronkowski who led the team in passing yards and receiver Brandin Cooks who seems to have quietly gone over a thousand yards as well this year. Special mention ought to go to receiver Danny Amendola who showed up big against the Jaguars when it mattered most and has a reputation for making big plays in the playoffs.

If the Patriots march to the Super Bowl had an air of inevitability about then the Eagles are almost a surprise representative for the NFC. In the offseason GM Howie Roseman continued to develop his team and signed a number of veterans who all seem to have contributed at various points giving the Eagles one of the most complete rosters in the league. Not content to rest on what he had done in the offseason Roseman also traded for Jay Ajayi in what appears to have been an almost prescient move when Carson Wentz, who was having an MVP calibre season, was lost for the season to injury in the Eagles’ week fourteen win against the LA Rams. The Eagles actually only lost their final game with nothing to play for once Wentz went down and also finished the regular season 13-3.

The Eagles offence may have finished the season ranked eighth in the league by DVOA, but they have found a way thanks to creative play calling, an offensive line that gets the job done and a rush attack that looks stronger than its ranking of seventeenth by DVOA. There has been much talk of the rush-pass-option or RPO plays that they run, but fundamentally this is a unit that continued to play well with a backup quarterback who looked genuinely good in his last outing against one of the best defences in the league. The huge question for the Eagles in this Super Bowl is whether head coach Doug Pederson and his staff can come up with a game plan that allows Nick Foles to be as effective in the Super Bowl with all the pressure that comes with being the starting quarterback for the big game. The Eagles strength and depth amongst their skill players facilitate the multiple ways their coaching staff attack different teams and should allow for the coaches to play how they want against the Patriots.

The Eagles defence finished the regular season ranked fifth in the league by DVOA and been effective against both the run and pass but particularly against the run where they rank third. This is perhaps not surprising given that the strength of this defence is the defensive line that has not only played well, but features depth which allows Jim Schwartz to not only be aggressive but maintain a fearsome pass rush into the fourth quarter when a lot of team’s pass rush gets tired. The Eagles have enough in their back seven to take advantage of this pass rush but it will be interesting to see how they fare against a quarterback of Brady’s ability in the season’s biggest game and so now feels like a good time to get into the matchups.

The big cliché before this game is one that I have used myself when talking about a team’s ability to beat Brady, namely that the formula is rushing four and playing good coverage. Now it is true that this is a formula to beat most teams, but it is harder to do than it first seems and Brady seems to be so strong against most defence but the way to bother him is to get pressure up the middle. The Jaguars played well for the most part against the Patriots but Brady still found a way and that has to be the worry for Eagles in this game. They will blitz more than the Jaguars and possibly have a better pass rush although their coverage players are not a strong. Still in Fletcher Cox they have a formidable rushing defensive tackle and the Patriots’ ability to mitigate this will go a long way to deciding the game. In Dante Scarnecchia the Patriots have one of the best offensive line coaches in the league and between his unit and Brady’s ability to recognise what a defence is doing and get rid of the ball they have the tools to allow the offence to function against the Eagles rush. In what I think is going to be a feature of this Super Bowl, the coaching matchup between these two sides of the ball is going to be fascinating. How the Eagles chose to cover Gronkowski and their success in executing it could go a long way in deciding this game.

When the Eagles have the ball the coaching matchup is also going to be enthralling. The usual approach that Belichick is known for on defence is that he makes a team beat them left handed i.e. he takes away what the opposing team does best. I have written before about the way he does this in coverage by putting his best cover corner on his opponent’s second best receiver and double covering their best, but this is not so easy when the ball is spread around the offence and it doesn’t feel to me like the Eagles have an obvious primary option to use this approach on. My hunch would be that with a backup quarterback, even one as talented as Nick Foles, the approach will be to stop the run and make Foles prove that he can play near the standard he set in the conference championship game and beat you. Even then, this is another great coaching matchup and as usual, red zone defence is going to be a key factor as it usually is for a team that often gives up few points even if the opponent can move the ball between the twenty yard lines.

I am really excited about this game as it has great promise in terms of the coaching matchups and the players involved, but it is a real shame that the Eagles are without Carson Wentz and I have to give the edge to the Patriots. It feels to me like this should be a close game with the experience of Brady and Belichick likely to win the day but I definitely think the Eagles will be a stern test and I can see them winning. The greatness of this Patriots run is already assured and we are witnessing a historic head coaching and quarterback pairing, perhaps for the last time, but that doesn’t guarantee they will triumph.

Now all that is left is to watch the game and witness football history.

AAF: Eagles’ Offence

03 Saturday Feb 2018

Posted by in Amateur Adventures in Film, Playoffs

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With the big game taking place tomorrow night, I have spent the last couple of days taking a look at the coaching tape from the Philadelphia Eagle’s big win over Minnesota Vikings in the NFC conference championship game.

This was an interesting to look at as for much of this game if felt like there was not as much between the Vikings defence and the Eagles offence as I felt when first watching the game. However, the Eagles were able to move the ball effectively for a lot of  the contest and it was a couple of bad plays in the secondary that really stretched the score line in the Eagles favour alongside the Vikings’ inability to move the ball with their offence.

The Eagles were able to run the ball effectively thanks to a combination of LeGarrette Blount and Jay Ajayi with Corey Clement also chipping in with some nice plays as a third running back. This genuine run threat allowed the Eagles to make effective use of play action and RPO. Now there has been a lot of talk read-pass-option in the NFL recently and so it is clearly an area I need to read up on in it a bit. The basic idea is that you have a play where the quarterback can either throw or handoff the ball depending on how the defence lines up. I certainly saw plays that would fit the bill and you do generally see more quick pass plays with the offensive line run blocking these days that would seem to fit the bill. I am a little hesitant to be too definitive as I don’t have the benefit of knowing the play calls or extensive discussions with coaches to help me pick them out on game tape (these posts are called amateur adventures in film for a reason) but I can see how it would be effective in the hands of the right quarterback.

RPOs are one way to attack a team, as is misdirection and that is definitely something Doug Pederson brought to his offence in this game. There was a lot of pre-snap motion from tight ends or receiver Nelson Agholor who ran as many fake runs as he did taking the ball from Nick Foles.

In fact this seems like a good time to talk about backup quarterback Nick Foles as he was really good in this game and not just from running quick pass plays. The impressive thing was how he was able to hold the ball on third down and find receivers. The pass towards the end of the second half that saw Alshon Jeffery score a fifty-three yard touchdown was nice but thirty-nine year old corner Terance Newman was beaten pretty easily for Jeffery to get behind the defence. However, there were other really nice throws where he had to show good pocket presence or roll out to throw the ball and I think my favourite play was the flea flicker that the Eagles ran in the third quarter to Torrey Smith who beat Trae Waynes on a stop go route, which combined with the hand off of the flea flicker was pretty devastating, and Foles was able to lead Smith into the end zone with the throw so that Harrison Smith playing deep safety on this play couldn’t get across to stop it.

The fourth quarter saw the Eagles run out a lot of clock effectively with a single back formation with an extra offensive lineman and two tight ends, but part of the effectiveness was the ability of Jay Ajayi to attack the edges of the defence although he is a powerful back can make yards go up the middle.

One of the things I’m most curious about for the Super Bowl is to see Pederson and his staff go up against Belichick and his coaches.  It should be a really well coached Super Bowl and the Eagles’ offence has a lot of tools that you can use to attack a defence that has given up a lot of yards this season. Much rests on how close to this performance Nick Foles can get, but I saw a lot to like as I will write about tomorrow when I preview the game.

Finally, this is a tough one for the Vikings who had a couple of injuries and a couple of bad plays, but they weren’t so far away from competing in this game but it was a bad timing for their performance level to drop for what has been one of the best defences in the league this year. This is one of the big reasons why they will be sat at home watching with the rest of us tomorrow.