We’re now far enough into the season that the byes have started, while Dan and I got off to a bad start picking games in week six given that neither of us accounted for Carson Wentz’s 6-0 record on a Thursday Night.

There’s a couple of cracking matchups, including a repeat of the Buffalo Bills taking on the Kansas City Chiefs so we’ll have to see how things look across the rest of the week.

Early Games:

It’s a bit of a mixed slate of early games given that the tight games seem to Bengals visiting the Saints, an AFC South game where who can truly say what the Jaguars will do against the Colts, and the Browns hosting the Patriots. Still, I’m interested to see how the Packers do this week coming off the disappointing London loss to the Giants and our spreadsheet of who we have watched is pointing me to the 49ers @ Falcons that I am looking forward to finding out how they are playing.

49ers @ Falcons (+5.5)

Gee’s Pick:      Falcons
Dan’s Pick:      Falcons

Patriots @ Browns (-2.5)

Gee’s Pick:      Patriots
Dan’s Pick:      Browns

Jets @ Packers (-6.5)

Gee’s Pick:       Jets
Dan’s Pick:      Packers

Jaguars @ Colts (-1.5)

Gee’s Pick:      Jaguars
Dan’s Pick:      Colts

Vikings @ Dolphins (+2.5)

Gee’s Pick:      Vikings
Dan’s Pick:      Vikings

Bengals @ Saints (+1.5)

Gee’s Pick:      Bengals
Dan’s Pick:      Bengals

Ravens @ Giants (+4.5)

Gee’s Pick:      Ravens
Dan’s Pick:      Ravens

Buccaneers @ Steelers (+7.5)

Gee’s Pick:      Buccaneers
Dan’s Pick:      Steelers

Late Games:

The game of the week, and potentially the regular season, dominates this group of late games as with all due respect to the Panthers, Rams, Cardinals and Seahawks – nearly all eyes will be on the Bills and Chiefs matchup.

Panthers @ Rams (-10.5)

Gee’s Pick:      Panthers
Dan’s Pick:      Panthers

Cardinals @ Seahawks (+2.5)

Gee’s Pick:      Seahawks
Dan’s Pick:      Cardinals

Bills @ Chiefs (+2.5)

Gee’s Pick:      Chiefs
Dan’s Pick:      Bills

Sunday Night Football:

Cowboys @ Eagles (-4.5)

This is a game likely to come down to the Cowboys defence going up against Eagles offensive line and with perennial Pro Bowl center Jason Kelce having had to come out of the game last week with an ankle injury, it will be interesting to see how they cope against the positively terrifying Micah Parsons. I can see the Eagles winning this one given they are unbeaten, but this line is a bit rich for me under the circumstances.

Gee’s Pick:      Cowboys
Dan’s Pick:      Eagles

Monday Night Football

Broncos @ Chargers (-5.5)

I positively hate this line because as dysfunctional as the Bronocs offence has been, their defence has been really good and they’ve only been truly out of one game this season in terms of final score. Meanwhile I don’t trust the Chargers at all, with what seems to be a head coach who hasn’t clearly defined how aggressive he wants to be with analytic decisions, injuries and an offence that seems to hinder as much as help Justin Herbert. I say this not because I’m expecting the Chargers to lose, but this number of points feels rich to me, but it’s not hard to see how the Chargers could run up big winners in this one.

Still, I’m sticking to my mantra of trust the numbers, and whilst this is right in the, ‘we don’t know what to do with the game’ range, they lean Broncos for me so that’s where I’m going… Needless to say I don’t feel comfortable about it.

Gee’s Pick:      Broncos
Dan’s Pick:      Chargers

DVOA is Football Outsiders statistic for measure a team’s success on every play versus the league average and you can read more about it and other football topics at https://footballoutsiders.com.