For the first time this season Dan has taken a lead going into week twelve, so I will have to see if I can catch up with him

Gee:      Week 11   8-6                     Overall   73-88
Dan:       Week 11   9-5                     Overall   74-87

Cardinals @ Falcons (-4.5)

The Cardinals are coming off a loss to the Vikings, and are on the road in Atlanta against an up and down but rested Falcons team. The Falcons offence has struggled a little bit with injuries and so has slipped to number two in the league by DVOA, but I think they have more than enough to beat a Cardinals team that are just not right this year. The defence of the Cardinals gives me some pause over this line, but things are just not quite there for them this year and I think the Falcons get back on track at home.

Gee’s Pick:          Falcons
Dan’s Pick:          Falcons

Jaguars @ Bills (-6.5)

I think that the Bills will win this game, but I am trying to work out by how much. Most of their wins this season have been by big margins, but they squeaked past the Bengals last week. It appears that LeSean McCoy will play this week despite thumb surgery, but I think I’m going to back the Jaguars to cover this line on the road, which could be a huge mistake!

Gee’s Pick:          Jaguars
Dan’s Pick:          Bills

Titans @ Bears (+3.5)

There are too many injuries in Chicago for the Bears to make a strong finish to the season, particularly with Matt Barkley starting at quarterback. It might make fans of the Titans nervous as they seemingly lose every time I back their team, but I can only see this game going one way.

Gee’s Pick:          Titans
Dan’s Pick:          Titans

Bengals @ Ravens (-4.5)

The Bengals could cover this line as they’ve kept most games close this season, but the loss of both AJ Green and Giovani Bernard is likely the death knell for the offence turning things round this year. The Ravens are not great on offence, but they have once again built a tough defence and I think they will grind this one out at home. As ever when picking against the Bengals, I would be delighted to be proved wrong.

Gee’s Pick:          Ravens
Dan’s Pick:          Ravens

Giants @ Browns (+7.5)

I said on the podcast that the Browns would not lose all their remaining games, and I still think that is more likely than not, but I wouldn’t know when to pick them winning and I shan’t be doing so against a Giants team that seemingly seems to be finding their way on defence to complement an offence that keeps doing enough to win.

Gee’s Pick:          Giants
Dan’s Pick:          Browns

Rams @ Saints (-6.5)

So in shock news, a rookie quarterback who doesn’t start until week eleven looks like a rookie quarterback when he finally plays. There is more wrong with the LA Rams’ offence than the quarterback, but at least Todd Gurley broke some longer runs last week. However, I was pretty impressed the with Saint’s defensive line in last week’s eventually close loss to the Panthers. The Rams defence has been playing really well this season, but I think the Saint’s run out winners in this one at home. The points however make me really nervous, but in the end I’m backing the Saints to cover.

Gee’s Pick:          Saints
Dan’s Pick:          Saints

49ers @ Dolphins (-7.5)

The Dolphins seem to have come together over the last few weeks, but their identity on offence is being challenged with problems with the injuries to their line. I like the Dolphins to find a way to win, but the points do give me pause, however when it comes down to making this pick I am still not getting enough points to make me back the 49ers on the road.

Gee’s Pick:          Dolphins
Dan’s Pick:          Dolphins

Chargers @ Texans (-1.5)

I thought Brock Osweiler looked better than I was expecting against the Raiders last week, but he is still on the wrong page with his receivers too often. The Texans defence is looking very good, but I think that Philip Rivers is finding a way with his Chargers team and I believe their respective records would be very different if they swapped divisions.

Gee’s Pick:          Chargers
Dan’s Pick:          Chargers

Seahawks @ Buccaneers (+5.5)

The Seahawks are playing really well, but this is a lot of points. However, with their defence getting back to its best, and Russel Wilson getting healthy enough to find his mobility again I think they will beat an improving Buccaneers team. I thought that Dirk Koetter was struggling at the start of the season, but they do seem to have settled down and beat the Chiefs in Kansas City last week, which is no mean feat. That said, I I’m still backing the Seahawks to cover these points as they round into their typical end of season form.

Gee’s Pick:          Seahawks
Dan’s Pick:          Seahawks

Panthers @ Raiders (-3.5)

The Panthers got a win against the Saints, but the offence sputtered in the run gain and they were functioning off the back of some key plays by Cam Newton and their defence finding its feet. The loss of Luke Kuechly will really hurt their defence though, and the Raiders have the offensive line to cope with their improving pass rush. I like the Raiders to cover this one despite the short week.

Gee’s Pick:          Raiders
Dan’s Pick:          Raiders

Patriots @ Jets (+7.5)

The Patriots struggled a little against the 49ers, but still nearly beat them by the fourteen points they needed to cover. I can’t see them letting up in a divisional game, and with all that has gone wrong for the Jets this season I see this going one way.

Gee’s Pick:          Patriots
Dan’s Pick:          Patriots

Chiefs @ Broncos (-3.5)

The last two games give me real pause, particularly in this one with the Broncos coming off a bye. I really like the Chiefs, but it looks as if the Broncos defence will be that much healthier after the bye and given the Chiefs recent struggles on offence and the always difficult trip to Denver I think the Chiefs will struggle. So despite the extra half point making me nervous I’m going to back the Broncos to cover this one.

Gee’s Pick:          Broncos
Dan’s Pick:          Chiefs

Packers @ Eagles (-3.5)

The Packers have really struggled this season and in particular over the last couple of weeks. I’m not sure the Eagles have the receivers to hurt the Packers troubled secondary, but I like their defence and I have more faith in them right this second so I am reluctantly backing the Eagles despite them needing to win by four to cover.

Gee’s Pick:          Eagles
Dan’s Pick:          Eagles